Spot premiums continue to fall amid sluggish market transactions [SMM Spot Aluminum Lunch Review]

Published: Jul 1, 2025 12:02
[SMM Spot Aluminum Lunchtime Review: Spot Premiums Continue to Fall, Market Transactions Sluggish] On the inventory side, according to SMM's domestic aluminum ingot inventory data, as of July 1, the domestic inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in three regions stood at 329,500 mt, showing an inventory buildup of 0.65 compared to the previous trading day. In the short term, despite the low inventory levels of aluminum ingots, there has been a slight trend of inventory buildup. The spot market is experiencing strong fear of high prices, with poor downstream demand and significant production cuts. Purchase willingness is low, and transactions are occurring at a discount. It is expected that spot premiums will show a narrowing trend in the short term.

SMM, July 1 News

Today, during the first trading session of the SHFE aluminum morning market, the price center shifted downward and then oscillated around 20,735 yuan/mt, while the price spread between futures contracts showed a widening trend. The spot market remained sluggish, with premiums continuing to decline across regions. In east China, the market initially offered SMM -30 to -20 in the morning, and gradually shifted to -30 yuan/mt for transactions. Today, SMM A00 aluminum ingot prices were reported at 20,780 yuan/mt, unchanged from the previous trading day, with a premium of 40 against the July contract, narrowing significantly by 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

In the central China market, the impact of downstream production cuts and high inventory levels of raw materials and finished products persisted, leading to a gloomy market atmosphere and poor sales. The spot market offered SMM central China -20, with the price spread against east China widening to -220. Today, SMM central China A00 aluminum ingot prices were recorded at 20,560 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum 2507 contract, down 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The price spread between central China and east China was 220 yuan/mt, widening by 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, with a discount of 180 yuan/mt against the 2507 contract.

On the inventory side, according to SMM's domestic aluminum ingot inventory data, domestic aluminum ingot inventory in three regions stood at 329,500 mt on July 1, showing an inventory buildup of 0.65 from the previous trading day. In the short term, despite the low aluminum ingot inventory levels, there has been a slight trend of inventory buildup. The spot market is experiencing strong fear of high prices, with poor downstream demand and significant production cuts, leading to low purchase willingness. Transactions are being made at discounts, and it is expected that the spot premiums will show a narrowing trend in the short term.


》Subscribe to view SMM metal spot historical prices

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
13 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
13 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
13 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
13 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
13 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
13 hours ago